The New Housing Bubble – This Unique Chart Proves It
The housing bubble burst in 2008…
But today, it’s back in full force.
Home prices are above precrisis levels. And the force pushing them to new highs is losing strength.
The next housing collapse is on the horizon. Eventually, home prices must return to normal levels. That’s why I’ve uncovered two ways to profit from the correction.
But first, let’s take a closer look at what’s behind today’s housing bubble.
It’s one of the best times in U.S. history to borrow money.
The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage topped 18% back in the ‘80s. But today, it’s closer to 4%. So you can borrow money at a 70% discount compared to a few decades back.
The artificially low rates have prompted folks to borrow money to buy homes. And now the fear of rising rates is pushing a final buying spree. As interest rates rise, borrowing becomes less attractive. That’s why mortgage brokers are encouraging home buyers to lock in low rates today.
A rock-bottom interest rate is the main culprit behind the housing bubble resurgence. It’s spurred sales and pushed home prices above precrisis levels. But now the Fed is slowly turning off the cheap money tap.
The new housing bubble can’t be sustained as cheap debt disappears. Buyer demand will fade. And this is just one reason to be cautious.
Lending standards are a little better today than they were in the early 2000s. But they’re still not great. Lenders and brokers still have plenty of ways to pass the buck.
Mortgage brokers work on commission. Their job is to close sales whether or not those sales are financially sound. When a broker sells a house, the mortgage on that house is often repackaged into a security with other mortgages. Then it’s sold to other investors. So the risk is passed on to the next guy.
A lot of warning signs appear today… and “For Sale” signs will likely follow. The housing bubble has blown above 2007 highs. And a correction is around the corner. That’s why you should consider ways to protect yourself and profit from the fall.
Profit on Today’s Housing Bubble
One way to profit from a drop in home prices is by shorting real estate funds. You can also buy an inverse fund. The ProShares Short Real Estate (NYSE: REK) is an inverse fund that seeks to return the opposite of the Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index. Although, this isn’t a fund you will want to hold onto for long.
Another way to profit is by buying after a drop. When prices fall, you’ll be able to buy homes and real estate funds at a discount. So if you’re a long-term investor, it could pay to wait until this blows over. In the words of legendary investor Jim Rogers… “I just wait until there is money lying in the corner, and all I have to do is go over there and pick it up. I do nothing in the meantime.”
The next crash will create great buying opportunities. Now is the time to prepare. And don’t let this housing bubble destroy your savings in the meantime.
About Brian Kehm
Brian Kehm double majored in finance and accounting at Iowa State University. After graduating, he went to work for a cryptocurrency company in Beijing. Upon returning to the U.S., he started working with financial publishers and also passed the CFA exams. When Brian isn’t researching and sharing ideas online, you can usually find him rock climbing or exploring the great outdoors.