Dividend Stocks

This 8% Yielder Just Slashed Its Dividend

It’s not that common that I review a stock immediately after it has cut its dividend. But I’ve had a number of requests for this one, and it’s an interesting situation.

Preferred Apartment Communities (NYSE: APTS) owns 123 multifamily housing, student housing, office and retail spaces in 15 states.

Its properties include…

  • The Overlook at Crosstown Walk, a 180-apartment community in Tampa, Florida
  • Independence Square, a 140,000-square-foot retail plaza in Dallas, Texas
  • Stadium Village, a 792-bed student housing apartment building in Kennesaw, Georgia.

In its first quarter earnings announcement, Preferred Apartment Communities said it is reducing its quarterly dividend to $0.175 per share from $0.2625.

This is the first time Preferred Apartment Communities has cut its dividend since it began paying one in 2011. In fact, it had raised the dividend every year since then and often did so multiple times per year.

But in the age of COVID-19, rents aren’t getting paid.

The good news is Preferred Apartment Communities’ grocery store tenants (which anchor some of its properties) had all paid their April rent as of May 11, when the company reported results.

However, only 66.7% of other retail tenants wrote a rent check in April, down from 96% in March and 99% in January and February.

(Just last week, Contributing Analyst Jody Chudley explained what the future might look like for retail post-pandemic. Click here to see his analysis.)

All other tenant categories showed rent payment levels over 90%.

The current economic and health crisis will likely result in lower funds from operations (FFO), which is the measure of cash flow used by real estate investment trusts like Preferred Apartment Communities.

The company’s FFO had been steadily climbing, but now it is projected to drop by 22% in 2020.
Loan Loss PrevisionsLast year, Preferred Apartment Communities generated $61.8 million in FFO while paying out $45.4 million in dividends for a payout ratio of 74%.

However, this year, FFO is forecast to drop to $48.5 million. If the company paid out the same amount in dividends that it did last year, the payout ratio would spike to 94%.

That doesn’t leave a lot of room for error if FFO comes in lower than expected.

So the company made the difficult but probably wise decision to lower the dividend. It is now expected to pay shareholders $37.5 million, which comes out to 77% of FFO.

The new lower dividend seems sustainable. The wild card is whether FFO comes in at expectations. If not, management may have to lower the dividend payout again.

And we know that once a management team breaks that sacred seal of cutting the dividend, it is more likely to do it again. So that lowers SafetyNet Pro’s dividend safety rating a notch.

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What Is SafetyNet Pro?

SafetyNet Pro is a groundbreaking tool that predicts dividend cuts with stunning accuracy. With it, you can determine the dividend safety rating of nearly 1,000 stocks. Access to SafetyNet Pro is reserved exclusively for subscribers of Marc’s newsletter, The Oxford Income Letter. To learn more about SafetyNet Pro and The Oxford Income Letter, click here now.

Preferred Apartment Communities’ dividend safety really comes down to where 2020’s FFO total comes in and what is expected next year.

If the numbers continue to decline, another dividend cut is very possible. If the numbers rebound, I’d expect the dividend to be safe.

Dividend Safety Rating: C
Loan Loss PrevisionsIf you have a stock whose dividend you’d like me to analyze, leave the ticker symbol in the comments section.

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Good investing,

Marc


About

A master of the steady, reliable science of income investing, Marc’s commentary has appeared in The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s and U.S. News & World Report. He has also appeared on CNBC, Fox Business and Yahoo Finance. His book Get Rich With Dividends: A Proven System for Double-Digit Returns achieved best-seller status shortly after its release in 2012. He captures the hearts and minds of readers approaching their golden years in his daily e-letter, Wealthy Retirement.

 

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