All Clear? Not Just Yet!
Markets closed up today…
But don’t be fooled into thinking this is the all-clear moment when the market will return to form. While yesterday’s actions brought us closer to the bottom than the day before, one headline could change everything. Because of that, the betting is still pointed toward the downside in the days and weeks ahead.
However, with the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) going absolutely parabolic this week, we may see a little letup in the velocity of the downside moves, meaning the daily massive moves down will start to slow down. So expect more big down days, but not necessarily four or five big days in a row.
That’s about as certain as I can be right now…
During this market crash panic, I will continue recommending the “dipping our toes in” strategy for longer-term positions, while I’m sure Bryan will continue his streak of quick-hit winners.
Yesterday I was buying stock in companies like Pfizer, Merck and even Disney. I was also dabbling in some small caps like Tivity and shares of SmileDirectClub, but I didn’t stop there. I picked up gold plays like Sibanye-Stillwater and added to some positions in the financial sector and preferred stocks.
I am a strong believer that panics – and a 30% down move – create opportunities. If we go down from here, I’ve planned for another move lower that takes us to the levels present at the beginning of the current administration. I doubt that will happen, but I am ready with dry powder.
Finally, we are seeing theme park closures and event cancellations – smart moves that should have been implemented sooner. The market wants to see this pandemic controlled, not the pathetic government inaction that we have seen to date. The market wants to know that precautions are being taken to slow the spread of COVID-19 while allowing time for it to be eradicated.
Unfortunately, the number of new cases will continue to soar since we are only NOW beginning to test people in earnest. Part of that is already priced into the market.
Action Plan: Up days in the market should provide some relief, but it’s not time to be complacent. Keep your powder dry, and always remember to position size!
Dip your toes into bargain stocks that you plan to hold for a long time, but be ready to act on some short-term opportunities as well!
If you’d like guidance on the bargain stocks you should be buying, join me in The War Room to see firsthand how you can profit whether it’s an up day or a down day!
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About Karim Rahemtulla
With more than 20 years of experience, Karim has mastered the subtle art of options trading. What we admire about him is his ability to score huge gains while minimizing the massive amount of risk that often comes with options. Beyond his expertise in options trading, he is also the author of the best-selling book Where in the World Should I Invest? He publishes weekly about smart speculation in his latest free e-letter, Trade of the Day.