How to Make Money in a Down Market With ProShares UltraShort Dow30 ETF and ProShares UltraShort QQQ
For the past decade, the market has taught investors nothing about hedging. In fact, it’s taught the opposite…
“Buy the dip” has been the constant mantra on Wall Street. After all, it’s the stockbrokers bread-and-butter phrase used to sell you things, even if you don’t need them.
Since 2010, the market has had only a handful of days where it’s fallen by 3% or more. This is the first year since 2011 that it’s fallen by 3% more than four times (it’s happened five times so far in 2020).
While such swings are huge and can impact investor confidence, they pale in comparison to 2008 and 2009, when the markets experienced more than 50 such swings in two years.
Preparing for these moves in advance is not an exercise most people participate in. After the fact, it’s painfully obvious who prepared and who didn’t. But time heals a lot of wounds, and investors have seen from history that even if they bought at the absolute top before every major correction, they would still be way ahead of the game a few months or years later.
The caveat here is that investors should not have sold; they should have hung on to their positions. Those who sell at the bottom are out of luck on all counts.
If you’re in need of a strategy, there are ways to hedge your bets in advance and during a corrective phase. These hedges will make you money or balance your portfolio so that the swings won’t really impact you.
The most obvious hedge strategy is shorting the market by using put options on individual stocks or indexes. This is pure insurance that will cost you money unless the market falls.
Another way to hedge is to buy investments that historically move higher when the markets move lower, like gold and other precious metals.
A third option is to sell covered call options against stocks you own. By selling the options, you pull in premium, which offsets your cost and provides income. But by doing so you are limiting your potential upside.
Lastly, another hedge strategy is to trade “ultra” ETFs that move opposite of the market during corrective and recovery phases.
Action Plan: There are many ways to hedge your bets.
If preserving capital is high on your list, then stay in cash. You won’t lose money to anything but inflation.
You can play volatility by understanding the ranges and when and what to trade. I just made a trade like this earlier in the week.
Tomorrow I will go over exactly what I did and how you can do the same right here in The War Room!
About Karim Rahemtulla
Karim began his trading career early… very early. While attending boarding school in England, he recognized the value of the homemade snacks his mom sent him every semester and sold them for a profit to his fellow classmates, who were trying to avoid the horrendous British food they were served.
He then graduated to stocks and options, becoming one of the youngest chief financial officers of a brokerage and trading firm that cleared through Bear Stearns in the late 1980s. There, he learned trading skills from veterans of the business. They had already made their mistakes, and he recognized the value of the strategies they were using late in their careers.
As co-founder and chief options strategist for the groundbreaking publication Wall Street Daily, Karim turned to long-term equity anticipation securities (LEAPS) and put-selling strategies to help members capture gains. After that, he honed his strategies for readers of Automatic Trading Millionaire, where he didn’t record a single realized loss on 37 recommendations over an 18-month period.
While even he admits that record is not the norm, it showcases the effectiveness of a sound trading strategy.
His focus is on “smart” trading. Using volatility and proprietary probability modeling as his guideposts, he makes investments where risk and reward are defined ahead of time.
Today, Karim is all about lowering risk while enhancing returns using strategies such as LEAPS trading, spread trading, put selling and, of course, small cap investing. His background as the head of The Supper Club gives him unique insight into low-market-cap companies, and he brings that experience into the daily chats of The War Room.
Karim has more than 30 years of experience in options trading and international markets, and he is the author of the bestselling book Where in the World Should I Invest?